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Rankings/SUMCY/Q1 2023 Analysis

SUMCO Corp (ADR)

SUMCY
Q1 2023(SUMCY Q3 FY2023)Estimated3.5% AI
AI Revenue %
3.5%
AI Fair Value
$112.0M
AI Revenue (Q)
$26.3M
Total Revenue (Q)
$750.0M

Analysis

Q3 CY2023 (Jul-Sep 2023): SUMCO reported ¥98.7B (~$670M) quarterly revenue. Semiconductor downturn persisting in memory/consumer, but AI-related leading-edge demand was strengthening. TSMC reported HPC (including AI) at 42% of revenue in Q3 2023, up from 38% a year prior. HBM production was ramping significantly at SK Hynix and Samsung, pulling through incremental 300mm DRAM wafer demand. SUMCO's 300mm wafers now had slightly higher AI attribution due to: (1) TSMC increasing wafer starts for AI accelerators (H100/A100) at N4/N5, and (2) HBM DRAM production requiring dedicated 300mm wafer capacity that would not exist without AI demand. Conservative increase to 3.5%. Math: 75% from 300mm x 22% leading-edge share (growing) x 21% AI share of leading-edge (growing) = ~3.5%. ¥98.7B x 3.5% = ~¥3.5B (~$24M) estimated AI revenue.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6

Quoted Figures

TSMC HPC segment (including AI accelerators) reached 42% of revenue in Q3 2023, indicating growing AI chip wafer consumption
TSMC Q3 2023 earnings
SK Hynix HBM3 production ramped significantly in H2 2023, driving incremental 300mm DRAM wafer demand
SK Hynix Q3 2023 earnings, industry reports

AI Products Identified (Ring 1)

300mm epitaxial wafers for TSMC N5/N4 AI accelerator production300mm polished wafers for HBM3 DRAM productionAdvanced 300mm wafers for Samsung foundry AI chip nodes

AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)

These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.

300mm wafers for smartphone SoCs300mm wafers for non-HBM DRAM/NAND200mm wafers (automotive, IoT, industrial)150mm and smaller wafers

Confidence Tier

EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix