canar.ai
Rankings/SMCI/Q1 2026 Analysis

Super Micro Computer

SMCI
Q1 2026(SMCI Q2 FY2026)Estimated78% AI
AI Revenue %
78%
AI Fair Value
$10.3B
AI Revenue (Q)
$9.1B
Total Revenue (Q)
$11.6B
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-Q Filing
Browse 10-Q filings on SEC.gov

Analysis

Q2 FY2026 (Dec 2025) revenue was $12,682M -- an extraordinary single-quarter figure, up 123.3% YoY from $5,678M. This is by far SMCI's largest quarter ever. US revenue rebounded to 86.2% of total ($10.9B from the US alone). Customer A was 62.6% of revenue -- roughly $7.9B from a single customer in one quarter. This extreme concentration and revenue scale is consistent with a hyperscaler AI infrastructure buildout. Accounts receivable surged to $11.0B (from $2.2B at June 2025) and accounts payable to $13.8B (from $1.3B), indicating massive throughput of GPU server hardware. Inventory reached $10.6B. The $12.7B quarterly revenue with these balance sheet characteristics is overwhelmingly AI GPU server revenue. Gross margin improved slightly to 6.3% ($799M / $12,682M), still very compressed by GPU-heavy BOM. Inventory valuation write-down of $169M for H1 suggests some product transition impact (Hopper to Blackwell). Estimate 78% AI. ~$9,892M AI / $12,682M total = ~78%.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6

Quoted Figures

Net sales of $12,682,491 thousand for three months ended December 31, 2025 vs $5,677,962 thousand for three months ended December 31, 2024
10-Q Q2 FY2026, Income Statement
United States $10,928,946 (86.2%) for three months ended December 31, 2025
10-Q Q2 FY2026, Note 2 Segment Information
Customer A 62.6% of total net sales for three months ended December 31, 2025
10-Q Q2 FY2026, Note 2 Concentration of Customer Risk
Accounts receivable $11,004,122 thousand at December 31, 2025 vs $2,203,942 thousand at June 30, 2025
10-Q Q2 FY2026, Balance Sheet
Inventories $10,595,448 thousand at December 31, 2025
10-Q Q2 FY2026, Balance Sheet

AI Products Identified (Ring 1)

NVIDIA Blackwell GPU servers (GB200/B200)Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS)Direct Liquid Cooling solutionsAI factory rack-scale solutionsmulti-rack cluster deployments

AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)

These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.

Rack Scale Total Solutionshyperscaler deploymentsserver management softwareon-site integration services

Confidence Tier

EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix