Shin-Etsu Chemical (ADR)
SHECYQ4 2022(SHECY Q2 FY2023)Estimated1.5% AI
AI Revenue %
1.5%
AI Fair Value
$408.0M
AI Revenue (Q)
$56.3M
Total Revenue (Q)
$3.8B
Analysis
FY2023 Q2 (Jul-Sep 2022): Semiconductor industry was entering a cyclical downturn. Memory chip demand was weakening, smartphone demand soft. Total revenue ~¥600B (~$4.3B at prevailing JPY/USD). Semiconductor Materials segment still ~40%. AI chip production (A100/H100) at TSMC remained a small fraction of total wafer consumption. The semiconductor downturn primarily hit memory and consumer chips; AI GPU wafer demand was small but stable. No change in AI exposure estimate from Q1. Math: ¥600B × 1.5% = ~¥9.0B (~$64M) estimated AI revenue.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6
Quoted Figures
Semiconductor silicon wafer shipments began declining in Q3 2022 due to inventory corrections in memory and consumer electronics
SEMI industry reports, 2022
Shin-Etsu maintained record wafer pricing through long-term agreements despite volume softness
Shin-Etsu Chemical Q2 FY2023 earnings
AI Products Identified (Ring 1)
300mm silicon wafers for leading-edge AI chip nodesEPI wafers for advanced logicPhotoresists for EUV lithography
AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)
These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.
200mm silicon wafers (automotive, IoT)300mm wafers for mature nodesPVC/Chlor-Alkali segmentSilicones segmentSpecialty Chemicals segmentElectronics & Functional Materials
Confidence Tier
EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix