canar.ai
Rankings/MP/Q3 2023 Analysis

MP Materials

MP
Q3 2023(MP Q2 FY2023)Estimated2.5% AI
AI Revenue %
2.5%
AI Fair Value
$98.6M
AI Revenue (Q)
$1.6M
Total Revenue (Q)
$64.0M
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-Q Filing
View 10-Q on SEC.gov

Analysis

Q2 FY2023 revenue was $64.0M (concentrate $64.0M, other $0.023M). Revenue declined significantly from Q1 due to lower rare earth prices. Still all concentrate to China via Shenghe. No separated NdPr sales. No AI disclosure. Maintaining 2.5% AI estimate consistent with Q1 as AI infrastructure demand was growing but rare earth concentrate sales provide no visibility into end-market allocation.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6

Quoted Figures

Rare earth concentrate $64,001 thousand for Q2 2023; Six-month total $159,667 thousand
10-Q Q2 FY2023, Note 14 Revenue Recognition

AI Products Identified (Ring 1)

Neodymium-praseodymium oxide (indirect, via concentrate)

AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)

These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.

NdPr permanent magnets for data center cooling fansRare earths for AI server components

Confidence Tier

EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix