canar.ai
Rankings/MA/Q1 2025 Analysis

Mastercard Inc

MA
Q1 2025(MA Q4 FY2024)Estimated6.5% AI
AI Revenue %
6.5%
AI Fair Value
$14.4B
AI Revenue (Q)
$445.4M
Total Revenue (Q)
$6.9B
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K Filing
View 10-K on SEC.gov

Analysis

Q4 FY2024 net revenue was $7,489M (derived: FY2024 $28,167M minus 9M $20,678M). The 10-K describes Mastercard's strategy as 'Enabled by People Brand Data & AI Technology Franchise' and highlights 'security solutions, consumer acquisition and engagement services, and business and market insights, all of which draw on our principled and responsible use of secure data.' The strategy section explicitly lists 'Data & AI' as a core enabler. 9M VAS = $7,754M out of $20,678M = 37.5%. Applying to Q4: ~$2,808M VAS. FY2024 full year net revenue = $28,167M. Estimating ~17% of VAS as AI-driven (increase reflects Decision Intelligence Pro rollout, expanded generative AI capabilities, and greater AI embedding): ~$2,808M * 0.17 = ~$477M. $477M / $7,489M = 6.4%, rounded to 6.5%.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6

Quoted Figures

Net revenue $28,167 [FY2024] ... $25,098 [FY2023] ... $22,237 [FY2022]
10-K 2024, Note 24 Segment Reporting
Our Strategy ... Enabled by People Brand Data & AI Technology Franchise
10-K 2024, Item 1 Business
These services and solutions include, among others, security solutions, consumer acquisition and engagement services, and business and market insights, all of which draw on our principled and responsible use of secure data
10-K 2024, Item 1 Business

AI Products Identified (Ring 1)

Decision IntelligenceDecision Intelligence ProDynamic YieldNuData SecurityRiskReconEthocaAI-powered analyticsgenerative AI capabilities

AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)

These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.

Value-Added Services and Solutionssecurity solutionspersonalizationconsumer engagement AIData & AI platform

Confidence Tier

EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix