canar.ai
Rankings/INTC/Q1 2025 Analysis

Intel

INTC
Q1 2025(INTC Q4 FY2024)Estimated3.5% AI
AI Revenue %
3.5%
AI Fair Value
$5.7B
AI Revenue (Q)
$499.1M
Total Revenue (Q)
$14.3B
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K Filing
View 10-K on SEC.gov

Analysis

Q4 FY2024 (full year 10-K). Full year 2024 net revenue: $53,101M. CCG: $30,290M. DCAI: $12,817M. NEX: $5,842M (included in Intel Products total of $48,949M). Altera: ~$1,542M (from all other). Mobileye: ~$1,660M (from all other). Critical finding: 10-K MD&A explicitly states '$922 million in Gaudi AI accelerator inventory-related charges recognized in 2024' and notes DCAI operating income was impacted. This confirms Gaudi commercial revenue was very small, likely under $500M for the full year (Intel took nearly as much in write-downs as it likely sold). Full year Mobileye AI (50%): ~$830M. Full year Xeon AI inference (~3% of DCAI): ~$385M. Full year Gaudi revenue: ~$400M (aggressive upper bound given the $922M write-down). AI PC premium in CCG: ~$300M. Altera AI use: ~$150M. Total AI: ~$2,065M. AI%: $2,065M / $53,101M = 3.9%. Rounded conservatively to 3.5% given Gaudi write-down evidence suggests actual revenue was much lower.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6

Quoted Figures

FY2024 total net revenue $53,101M; CCG $30,290M; DCAI $12,817M; NEX $5,842M
10-K for fiscal year ending Dec 28, 2024, Segment Data Note
$922 million in Gaudi AI accelerator inventory-related charges recognized in 2024
10-K for fiscal year ending Dec 28, 2024, MD&A - DCAI Operating Income
DCAI operating income increased $469M from 2023, partially offset by $922M Gaudi inventory charges
10-K for fiscal year ending Dec 28, 2024, MD&A
Intel Foundry operating loss: ($13,408M) in 2024 vs ($6,955M) in 2023
10-K for fiscal year ending Dec 28, 2024, Segment Data Note

AI Products Identified (Ring 1)

Mobileye ADASXeon (AI inference portion)Gaudi3 AI acceleratorCore Ultra NPU (AI PC)Altera FPGAs (AI inference)

AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)

These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.

DCAI server CPUs (non-AI workloads)CCG client PCs (non-AI portion)Intel FoundryNetwork and Edge

Confidence Tier

EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix