canar.ai
Rankings/IBM/Q4 2025 Analysis

International Business Machines Corp

IBM
Q4 2025(IBM Q3 FY2025)Estimated7% AI
AI Revenue %
7%
AI Fair Value
$11.1B
AI Revenue (Q)
$3.2B
Total Revenue (Q)
$45.2B
Source: SEC EDGAR SEC Filing Filing
View SEC Filing on SEC.gov

Analysis

IBM reported Q3 total revenue of $16,331M. Software $7,209M (Hybrid Cloud $1,886M, Automation $1,934M, Data $1,459M, TP $1,930M). Consulting $5,324M (Strategy & Technology $2,905M, Intelligent Operations $2,419M). Infrastructure $3,559M, Financing $200M. Automation grew 23.7% YoY ($1,563M to $1,934M) -- the fastest growth rate in the dataset -- and Data grew 7.9% ($1,352M to $1,459M). Software segment profit margin hit 32.9% (highest in dataset). This accelerating growth in Automation, which houses watsonx and AI-powered automation tools, strongly suggests increasing AI revenue recognition. No AI-specific revenue is disclosed in the filing. Conservative estimate: AI products represent ~24% of Automation + Data ($3,393M x 24% = $814M), plus ~$280M in AI consulting, ~$50M in AI infrastructure = ~$1,143M. $1,143M / $16,331M = 7.0%.
Analyzed by claude-opus-4-6

Quoted Figures

Total revenue $16,331M; Software $7,209M (Hybrid Cloud $1,886M, Automation $1,934M, Data $1,459M, TP $1,930M), Consulting $5,324M, Infrastructure $3,559M, Financing $200M
Revenue Disaggregation
Automation revenue $1,934M vs prior year $1,563M (23.7% growth); Data revenue $1,459M vs prior year $1,352M (7.9% growth)
Revenue Disaggregation
Software segment profit $2,374M, 32.9% margin (up from 30.2%)
Segment Information

AI Products Identified (Ring 1)

watsonx.aiwatsonx.datawatsonx.governancewatsonx Code Assistantwatsonx Assistantwatsonx Orchestrate

AI-Enabled Items (Ring 2 — Not Counted)

These items use AI but are not counted in the AI revenue estimate because they primarily serve non-AI functions.

Red Hat OpenShift AIIBM Consulting AI practiceAutomation sub-segmentData sub-segmentz17 AI capabilities

Confidence Tier

EstimatedNo direct AI revenue disclosure — estimated from product mix